By JM Kwanya
Reasons why ODM will lose the 2017 General Elections at round one…one more time.
1. Persistent in-fighting between party members. There are individuals who feel more equal than others, they consistently create discord within the party either to achieve a personal goal or to endear themselves to Raila Odinga whom they believe is all they need to be re-elected.
This group is composed of MPs who have declared themselves as the official mole-hunters. They are mostly MPs who have nothing else to offer the party except being a YES-man and a blind sycophant to the party leader. I’ve not mentioned Kaluma, so don’t think of him.
The recent discord between Ababu and Mbadi, or other The Sec-Gen and the Chair is not good for the party.
Mbadi should stop looking into his political interests ahead of the party’s interests if ODM is to make a performance worth writing about in 2017.
2. The party’s obvious flag-bearer will be 72. If you are to sell a 72 year old in opposition against a 55 year old sitting president with a 51 year old Deputy, you have to be smart and tactical. ODM has showed none of these.
3. Too much arrogance, pride and empty rhetoric from the party die-hards. You can’t claim #Okwabisecho yet you don’t mobilize people to register to vote. Last elections the nonsense that went viral was #Giniwasekao yet some of these lunatics themselves registered in Nairobi and were home during elections. Ok ubisecho kitu gani? You have to beg other blocs to support your meagre votes.
Surprisingly even the party leader was recently seen in a T-shirt bearing these rude words, #JaluoOkSechi, obiro secho, there is nothing like #BabaPodPek.
That alone is a reluctant admission that his political strength has waned and that his supporters have lost confidence in his ascension to the presidency.
As things stand, if elections were called today, the gap between Uhuru Kenyatta and Raila Odinga would have an additional 500,000 votes.
#Disclaimer: The writer is responsible for the views expressed here, how you intepret it is your responsibility