I have a very stupid hypothesis about CORD and its prospects:
By M Okoth
Outgoing ODM Secretary General Hon.Ababu Namwamba and a good number of Luhyia MPs and politicians are likely to leave CORD in the coming few months.
CORD co-principal Hon.Moses Wetangula may remain behind to see if he can be made the running mate to whoever will be flying the CORD flag for 2017. Hon.Bonnie Khalwale will remain by his side to offer him some political guard. Should Wetangula fail in his bid,he’ll alongside Khalwale join forces with their colleagues later into a separate political grouping that will be solely for political barter trading.
In the unlikely event that a few of them like Ababu lose their parliamentary seats, Jubilee will be on stand by with irresistible political goodies to snap them away……….
In a nutshell, should Raila Odinga and his ODM/CORD ignore or dismiss the current political noises from Luhyia-land and fail to grant Ababu and his group their wishes, Raila/ODM/CORD have no future in the Mulembe Nation. With the Eurobond cash and “development” flying all over,it can only get worse.
In Ukambani, Kalonzo Musyoka has deliberately split his backyard into two and dispatched one group to the left (Jubilee) and another to the right (CORD) while leaving the middle path-his most preferred political path,open. Fools have however been duped into believing that the former VP is facing massive rebellion in his backyard and I hear we are in Machakos today to “put the rebels in their rightful place”.He’s not. It’s just political chicanery.
Now, Kalonzo hopes to be the CORD presidential candidate in 2017.It’s the only reason he’s still around. His boys in Jubilee led by Governor Alfred Mutua have just been assigned the role of threatening and blackmailing the CORD leadership through “rebellion” into conceding and making Kalonzo the presidential candidate failure to which the Kamba votes are headed to Jubilee,while simultaneously clearing his path into Jubilee.
It’s on the same s breath that Wiper’s Secretary General Hon.Omar Hassan has been assigned to keep the other ODM’s first rising political power man Hon.Ali Hassan Joho busy and distracted in Mombasa to curtail ODM’s political synergies. We must have noticed that Senator Omar and his party chairman Hon.David Musila have now started demanding that CORD names its presidential candidate immediately to “forestall further confusion”.
Now,if these tricks won’t work,believe me Kalonzo will not accept anything less that being the CORD flag bearer. He’ll simply use the middle path between CORD and Jubilee to squirm himself into the Jubilee’s political kraal where they may make him either the Speaker of the National Assembly or the Majority Leader in parliament post 2017 in exchange for his 1 million Kamba votes. Again,Raila/ODM/CORD has no future in Ukambani unless Kalonzo is the presidential candidate.
In Kisii, I’m told Uhuru is now edging Raila and should elections be held today,he’ll beat us by 60%:40%,courtesy of Eurobond and “development”.
Where does this leave Raila/ODM/CORD?What should be the way forward especially with Jubilee dangling cash on the faces of every politician they come across? What would happen if Raila for instance backs a Kalonzo/Wetangula ticket? Do these two have what it takes to beat Uhuru/Ruto?Suppose Raila pulls the rags under these guys feet and comes up with a surprise project of say Joho/Kidero/Aukuot/Nanok/Ababu/Omar/Mutua etc etc?
I may be wrong but tough times lie ahead.
Disclaimer: Please note that I’ve not been paid and/or sent by Jubilee to rock the CORD boat from within. These are just my silly political forecasts. Besides, the CORD boat is too self-rocking to be rocked any further.
Nice Sunday all.